說幾手重要的牌，有些我都不記得了。
中間一個人跟，我在 SB 跟了 97o，翻牌 8 6 5，我加，中間再加，我 all in，他竟然跟 T8。
中間一個人跟，我在按鈕加注 A8s，中間跟，翻牌有 A，我加，對手跟，轉牌出 8，對手把餘下不多的全進，對手是 A9s。
前位全進約 10BB，我看到 QQ 跟了，對手是 AQ，又拿一手。
前面兩個 limper，APPT 澳門第三名的台灣人全進，當時是 300/600 ante 50，我看到 AQs，當時我有三萬多，要求數籌碼，發現要跟 15k 那麼多，無奈只有放棄。
中間很多都不記得了，到了最後四名我基本上都是 suck out 對手完成，不過這就是比賽。
CO 加注 KTs，按鈕跟，BB 美女 all in 不多的籌碼，我全推走按鈕，美女是 KJs，但我拿到順，現場一片嘩然，剩三個人。
按鈕全進，我在 SB 跟了 AQs，對手 A9s ，我成為 CL。
我在按鈕全進 J5o，SB 跟了 5個 BB 不到，他是 TT，輸了。
我在按鈕全進 J6s，SB 跟了AJo，河牌出 6，進入 HU。
最後一手全推，好像是 T5o 吧，對手跟了 77，但我贏了。
A few important hands, I have forgotten many hands.
Someone limped in MP, I completed at SB with 97o. Flop: 8 6 5. I bet, MP raised, I shoved and MP called with T8!
Someone in MP limped, I raised at button with A8s and MP called. Flop had A, I bet and he called. Turn was 8, MP shoved the remaining chips and I called. MP had A9s.
Someone in EP shoved for about 10BB and I called with QQ. He had AQ and my hand won again.
Two limpers and the Taiwanese who got 3rd in APPT Macau shoved. I found AQs so I requested for chip count and I need to call 15k at 300/600 ante 50. Never mind, next time.
I have forgotten the other hands until the final 4 which I sucked out everyone of them. This is poker tournament.
I raised KTs at CO, button called, the girl at BB shoved for remaining which I at least should call. I pushed the button out of the pot. The girl had KJs, but I got straight. The venue was so noisy like WTF this guy is doing lol. 3 players remained.
Button shoved and I called with AQs. Button had A9s and I became chip leader.
I shoved J5o from button and SB called TT with less than 5BB. I lost.
I shoved J6s from button and SB called AJo. 6 on river so HU.
At the final hand I shoved T5o? and opponent called 77 but I won the hand and the tournament.
2009年11月21日 星期六
Sharkscope 500 平均 Leaderboard (Sharkcope average 500 games leaderboard)
2009年11月18日，在 $5 至 $15 的 SNG 我的平均利潤達到 $14.83，在 Sharkscope Leaderboard 排名第二，等於 124% ROI。
On 18 Nov 2009, I reached an average profit of $14.83 per game in last 500 games for $5-$15 SNG and ranked 2nd on the leaderboard, i.e. ROI of 124%.
On 18 Nov 2009, I reached an average profit of $14.83 per game in last 500 games for $5-$15 SNG and ranked 2nd on the leaderboard, i.e. ROI of 124%.
[新竟技] 回顧10月16日撲克之星8.8+R 三萬刀保証的勝利
本來打算繼續寫些技巧的文章，但獲得一個比賽大勝，還是想先寫一個回顧，下次再來技巧的討論。10月16日經過9個多小時，我終於打敗其他1,948名對手，獲得7,982刀的獎金，以下是一些這個比賽過程的分享，因比賽較長我只把比較特別的牌貼出來，一般翻牌前全進的就不說了：
第一手
在再買入階段，因為有人亂推，我幾乎沒打什麼牌，拿到 AA 也被 badbeat，過了再買入及 addon 後我只有三千多，但過了這階段我的運氣開始好起來。在 100/200 拿到 AA 及 AK 翻牌前全進都贏了增至一萬多，然後AQ在150/300神差鬼使地超大全進，不知是否因為在前面的11+R鼠標滑了一滑本來加注的牌變成全進輸給 AK 搞傻了，不過這又 badbeat 了對手增至三萬多，請注意不要這樣打啊：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t150/t300 Blinds + t25 - 9 players
BTN: t19205 M = 28.45
Hero (SB): t15558 M = 23.05
BB: t2795 M = 4.14
UTG: t18853 M = 27.93
UTG+1: t17446 M = 25.85
UTG+2: t13914 M = 20.61
MP1: t13635 M = 20.20
MP2: t16292 M = 24.14
CO: t12012 M = 17.80
Pre Flop: (t675) Hero is SB with Qs Ah
4 folds, MP2 calls t300, 2 folds, Hero raises to t15533 all in, 1 fold, MP2 calls t15233
Flop: (t31591) 4c Jh Ks (2 players - 1 is all in)
Turn: (t31591) Ac (2 players - 1 is all in)
River: (t31591) 4d (2 players - 1 is all in)
Final Pot: t31591
Hero shows Qs Ah (two pair, Aces and Fours)
MP2 shows Qh Qc (two pair, Queens and Fours)
Hero wins t31591
第二手
這手是一個試探式偷雞，當時BB不在，跟這牌又沒什麼意思，但偷雞不成功，其實我很少這樣打，當然如果是T8s的牌我就寧願跟好了：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t200/t400 Blinds + t50 - 9 players
BTN: t22376 M = 21.31
Hero (SB): t23471 M = 22.35
BB: t1020 M = 0.97
UTG: t23978 M = 22.84
UTG+1: t17471 M = 16.64
UTG+2: t22110 M = 21.06
MP1: t20835 M = 19.84
MP2: t10522 M = 10.02
CO: t10087 M = 9.61
Pre Flop: (t1050) Hero is SB with 3h Tc
UTG calls t400, 6 folds, Hero raises to t2000, 1 fold, UTG calls t1600
Flop: (t4850) Ac 9s 6d (2 players)
Hero bets t2800, UTG raises to t5600, Hero folds
第三手
河牌成4條，本來對手不會全進的牌變成全進，籌碼又回到較早前的水平，翻牌也可以直接先下注，但想看對手會不會繼續下注：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t300/t600 Blinds + t50 - 9 players
BTN: t19276 M = 14.28
Hero (SB): t17671 M = 13.09
BB: t20 M = 0.01
UTG: t27328 M = 20.24
UTG+1: t30193 M = 22.37
UTG+2: t23760 M = 17.60
MP1: t20885 M = 15.47
MP2: t24280 M = 17.99
CO: t12737 M = 9.43
Pre Flop: (t720) Hero is SB with Ks Js
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to t1800, 5 folds, Hero calls t1500, 1 fold
Flop: (t4020) 8d Kc 7h (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG+1 checks
Turn: (t4020) Kh (2 players)
Hero bets t2400, UTG+1 calls t2400
River: (t8820) Kd (2 players)
Hero bets t4444, UTG+1 raises to t15600, Hero calls t8977 all in
Final Pot: t35662
Hero shows Ks Js (four of a kind, Kings)
UTG+1 shows Jh Jd (a full house, Kings full of Jacks)
Hero wins t35482
Hero wins t180
第四手
輾轉已到了三十萬籌碼，不過前面的都是翻牌前全進，也不說了，這手牌也可以早一點加注，但考慮如加注後是否跟全進，而且抽的牌也不少，就先看看河牌再說：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t2000/t4000 Blinds + t400 - 7 players
BB: t215009 M = 24.43
UTG: t102972 M = 11.70
UTG+1: t409726 M = 46.56
MP: t34063 M = 3.87
Hero (CO): t324103 M = 36.83
BTN: t43420 M = 4.93
SB: t42086 M = 4.78
Pre Flop: (t8800) Hero is CO with Th Kh
3 folds, Hero raises to t11111, 2 folds, BB calls t7111
Flop: (t27022) 8h As Qc (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks
Turn: (t27022) 7h (2 players)
BB bets t15000, Hero calls t15000
River: (t57022) Jc (2 players)
BB bets t30000, Hero raises to t297592 all in, BB folds
第五手
這裡我肯定會跟 MP2，但我沒有想到 SB 會用AJo來全進，當時只想到SBBB一定會非常緊，結果成全了MP1單獨享受：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t3000/t6000 Blinds + t600 - 9 players
SB: t212542 M = 14.76
BB: t106944 M = 7.43
UTG: t549167 M = 38.14
UTG+1: t224252 M = 15.57
Hero (UTG+2): t436562 M = 30.32
MP1: t133078 M = 9.24
MP2: t76877 M = 5.34
CO: t224738 M = 15.61
BTN: t117689 M = 8.17
Pre Flop: (t14400) Hero is UTG+2 with Kh Ac
2 folds, Hero raises to t16666, MP1 calls t16666, MP2 raises to t76277 all in, 3 folds, BB raises to t106344 all in, 1 fold, MP1 calls t89678
Flop: (t314031) 2s Td Qc (3 players - 2 are all in)
Turn: (t314031) Jc (3 players - 2 are all in)
River: (t314031) 8s (3 players - 2 are all in)
Final Pot: t314031
BB shows Jd As (a pair of Jacks)
MP1 shows Ah Kd (a straight, Ten to Ace)
MP2 shows Tc Ts (three of a kind, Tens)
MP1 wins t60134
MP1 wins t253897
第六手
對手翻牌只跟，轉牌還有接近2個池，公共牌有兩個抽花這時不容對手抽，但翻牌給了對手兩對，還有一定的籌碼但形勢沒有那麼好了，但後來也重新打上去：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t3500/t7000 Blinds + t700 - 8 players
CO: t166942 M = 10.37
BTN: t193101 M = 11.99
SB: t479967 M = 29.81
BB: t271952 M = 16.89
Hero (UTG): t429796 M = 26.70
UTG+1: t461265 M = 28.65
MP1: t282238 M = 17.53
MP2: t93989 M = 5.84
Pre Flop: (t16100) Hero is UTG with Qh As
Hero raises to t21000, 1 fold, MP1 calls t21000, 5 folds
Flop: (t58100) Kd Ad 7h (2 players)
Hero bets t35000, MP1 calls t35000
Turn: (t128100) Jh (2 players)
Hero bets t373096 all in, MP1 calls t225538 all in
River: (t579176) 8h (2 players - 2 are all in)
Final Pot: t579176
Hero shows Qh As (a pair of Aces)
MP1 shows Jc Ah (two pair, Aces and Jacks)
MP1 wins t579176
最終桌
到了最終桌時我的籌碼有百五萬，比領先者少一點，但大部份人的籌碼也相差不多，OPR也沒有發現任何高手，其中右邊第一位是領先者，有一段時間和我一同領先其他對手不少，最後倒在第三位，右邊第二位是後來和我單打的，在這場比賽同桌了幾百手牌了，這兩人在最終桌早期都經常加注，但後來都好像愈打愈緊，可以說較大的籌碼都在右邊，對我也有位置上的好處，最終桌開始時的注碼是15K/30K。
第七手
第一手較有價值的牌，利用位置的優勢把不小的池偷了下來，這手牌以後右邊似乎在SB跟少了牌，當然這樣打要注意：一是位置，二是對手，另外籌碼數是否需考慮？這時雖然我們是領先者，但並沒有比其他人領先很多，當然如果對手敢全進，恐怕我還得放棄，其他打法如在翻牌繼續下注也是可以的：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t25000/t50000 Blinds + t5000 - 8 players
MP2: t467819 M = 4.07
CO: t629777 M = 5.48
BTN: t916903 M = 7.97
SB: t2087995 M = 18.16
Hero (BB): t2264079 M = 19.69
UTG: t1239760 M = 10.78
UTG+1: t1437545 M = 12.50
MP1: t519122 M = 4.51
Pre Flop: (t115000) Hero is BB with 8d As
6 folds, SB calls t25000, Hero raises to t150000, SB calls t100000
Flop: (t340000) Jd Ks Kd (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks
Turn: (t340000) 7d (2 players)
SB bets t200000, Hero raises to t500000, SB folds
第八手
這次連加兩次對手不領情了：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t25000/t50000 Blinds + t5000 - 8 players
MP2: t439609 M = 3.82
CO: t399777 M = 3.48
BTN: t1278447 M = 11.12
SB: t1762995 M = 15.33
Hero (BB): t2865745 M = 24.92
UTG: t1239760 M = 10.78
UTG+1: t1317545 M = 11.46
MP1: t259122 M = 2.25
Pre Flop: (t115000) Hero is BB with 6h 3h
6 folds, SB calls t25000, Hero checks
Flop: (t140000) Qc 3s Kc (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets t70000, SB calls t70000
Turn: (t280000) 5d (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets t150000, SB calls t150000
River: (t580000) 2h (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks
Final Pot: t580000
SB shows Js Qh (a pair of Queens)
Hero mucks 6h 3h
SB wins t580000
第九手
這手不跟我直接全進，如果是的話不知會怎樣，他也亮了QQ出來：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t40000/t80000 Blinds + t8000 - 4 players
BTN: t1298436 M = 8.54
SB: t1732428 M = 11.40
BB: t3576835 M = 23.53
Hero (CO): t2955301 M = 19.44
Pre Flop: (t152000) Hero is CO with Kc Ad
Hero raises to t200000, 2 folds, BB calls t120000
Flop: (t472000) 9s 3d 5s (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets t255555, BB raises to t800000, Hero folds
Final Pot: t983110
BB shows Qd Qh (a pair of Queens)
BB wins t983110
第十手
KQo在這裡反加全進大了點，小反加不好跟全進同時盲注全進我也不能走，但我覺得這牌還是值得一跟的，可惜沒有把他的全吃過來：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t40000/t80000 Blinds + t8000 - 4 players
SB: t1042436 M = 6.86
BB: t1516428 M = 9.98
CO: t3992390 M = 26.27
Hero (BTN): t3011746 M = 19.81
Pre Flop: (t152000) Hero is BTN with Ks Qd
CO raises to t240000, Hero calls t240000, 2 folds
Flop: (t632000) 8h Qc Kd (2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets t380000, CO folds
第十一手
右邊的輸了一手牌給另一位，奇怪在那一手以後他好像總是被壓制的一方，好像這一手：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t50000/t100000 Blinds + t10000 - 3 players
SB: t3680997 M = 20.45
BB: t2022257 M = 11.23
Hero (BTN): t3859746 M = 21.44
Pre Flop: (t180000) Hero is BTN with 8c Qs
Hero raises to t250000, 1 fold, BB calls t150000
Flop: (t580000) Kh Ad Jd (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets t300000, BB calls t300000
Turn: (t1180000) Qc (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets t3299746 all in, BB folds
第十二手
右邊的對手以極少籌碼老死不掉，我用這樣的牌都可以放心偷第二位的，因為他明顯不敢和我硬碰也沒有這能力：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t50000/t100000 Blinds + t10000 - 3 players
BB: t3792125 M = 21.07
BTN: t133544 M = 0.74
Hero (SB): t5637331 M = 31.32
Pre Flop: (t180000) Hero is SB with 4s 5h
1 fold, Hero raises to t200000, 1 fold
第十三手
這是另一手，在其他時間跟會好一點，但因為第三位籌碼實在太少了，他現在沒有很大的牌都不能跟我的全進，如果他跟了而我輸掉，我仍是極大可能進單打，所以這樣的打法能成立：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t50000/t100000 Blinds + t10000 - 3 players - http://www.thehandconverter.com/hands/328660
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter
BTN: t3558581 M = 19.77
SB: t257088 M = 1.43
Hero (BB): t5747331 M = 31.93
Pre Flop: (t180000) Hero is BB with 5c Ac
BTN raises to t300000, 1 fold, Hero raises to t5737331 all in, 1 fold
第十四手
老死不掉的他也終於出局了：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t50000/t100000 Blinds + t10000 - 3 players
SB: t3138581 M = 17.44
BB: t187088 M = 1.04
Hero (BTN): t6237331 M = 34.65
Pre Flop: (t180000) Hero is BTN with As 5h
Hero raises to t200000, 1 fold, BB calls t77088 all in
Flop: (t434176) Td 2c 3h (2 players - 1 is all in)
Turn: (t434176) 8c (2 players - 1 is all in)
River: (t434176) Qs (2 players - 1 is all in)
Final Pot: t434176
BB shows 4h Ah (high card Ace)
Hero shows As 5h (high card Ace - Queen+Ten+Eight+Five kicker)
Hero wins t434176
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t50000/t100000 Blinds + t10000 - 2 players
BB: t2168581 M = 12.76
Hero (BTN/SB): t7394419 M = 43.50
Pre Flop: (t170000) Hero is BTN/SB with Ac Js
Hero raises to t7384419 all in, BB calls t2058581 all in
Flop: (t4337162) Qh 6h 3d (2 players - 2 are all in)
Turn: (t4337162) 5d (2 players - 2 are all in)
River: (t4337162) Kd (2 players - 2 are all in)
Final Pot: t4337162
BB shows 9d 9s (a pair of Nines)
Hero shows Ac Js (high card Ace)
BB wins t4337162
第十五手
三人時那麼緊，現在竟然這樣跟我三條街：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t50000/t100000 Blinds + t10000 - 2 players
BTN/SB: t3078581 M = 18.11
Hero (BB): t6484419 M = 38.14
Pre Flop: (t170000) Hero is BB with Jd 8d
BTN/SB calls t50000, Hero checks
Flop: (t220000) Ad As Kd (2 players)
Hero bets t100000, BTN/SB calls t100000
Turn: (t420000) 5d (2 players)
Hero bets t250000, BTN/SB calls t250000
River: (t920000) 6s (2 players)
Hero bets t400000, BTN/SB calls t400000
Final Pot: t1720000
BTN/SB mucks 5c Js
Hero shows Jd 8d (a flush, Ace high)
Hero wins t1720000
第十六手
五五的一手，可惜沒有在這裡解決戰鬥：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t50000/t100000 Blinds + t10000 - 2 players
BB: t2168581 M = 12.76
Hero (BTN/SB): t7394419 M = 43.50
Pre Flop: (t170000) Hero is BTN/SB with Ac Js
Hero raises to t7384419 all in, BB calls t2058581 all in
Flop: (t4337162) Qh 6h 3d (2 players - 2 are all in)
Turn: (t4337162) 5d (2 players - 2 are all in)
River: (t4337162) Kd (2 players - 2 are all in)
Final Pot: t4337162
BB shows 9d 9s (a pair of Nines)
Hero shows Ac Js (high card Ace)
BB wins t4337162
第十七手
最後的一手，前面有一手我用A7o 在BB反加了他（不全進）而他放棄了，這次可能因為前面我打得很鬆，選擇用A4o 4-bet我，可惜時機不對，戰鬥也結束了：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t60000/t120000 Blinds + t12000 - 2 players
BTN/SB: t3759162 M = 18.43
Hero (BB): t5803838 M = 28.45
Pre Flop: (t204000) Hero is BB with As Ad
BTN/SB raises to t240000, Hero raises to t600000, BTN/SB raises to t3747162 all in, Hero calls t3147162
Flop: (t7518324) Ks 8s 8c (2 players - 1 is all in)
Turn: (t7518324) 8h (2 players - 1 is all in)
River: (t7518324) 6c (2 players - 1 is all in)
Final Pot: t7518324
BTN/SB shows Ac 4h (three of a kind, Eights)
Hero shows As Ad (a full house, Eights full of Aces)
Hero wins t7518324
第一手
在再買入階段，因為有人亂推，我幾乎沒打什麼牌，拿到 AA 也被 badbeat，過了再買入及 addon 後我只有三千多，但過了這階段我的運氣開始好起來。在 100/200 拿到 AA 及 AK 翻牌前全進都贏了增至一萬多，然後AQ在150/300神差鬼使地超大全進，不知是否因為在前面的11+R鼠標滑了一滑本來加注的牌變成全進輸給 AK 搞傻了，不過這又 badbeat 了對手增至三萬多，請注意不要這樣打啊：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t150/t300 Blinds + t25 - 9 players
BTN: t19205 M = 28.45
Hero (SB): t15558 M = 23.05
BB: t2795 M = 4.14
UTG: t18853 M = 27.93
UTG+1: t17446 M = 25.85
UTG+2: t13914 M = 20.61
MP1: t13635 M = 20.20
MP2: t16292 M = 24.14
CO: t12012 M = 17.80
Pre Flop: (t675) Hero is SB with Qs Ah
4 folds, MP2 calls t300, 2 folds, Hero raises to t15533 all in, 1 fold, MP2 calls t15233
Flop: (t31591) 4c Jh Ks (2 players - 1 is all in)
Turn: (t31591) Ac (2 players - 1 is all in)
River: (t31591) 4d (2 players - 1 is all in)
Final Pot: t31591
Hero shows Qs Ah (two pair, Aces and Fours)
MP2 shows Qh Qc (two pair, Queens and Fours)
Hero wins t31591
第二手
這手是一個試探式偷雞，當時BB不在，跟這牌又沒什麼意思，但偷雞不成功，其實我很少這樣打，當然如果是T8s的牌我就寧願跟好了：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t200/t400 Blinds + t50 - 9 players
BTN: t22376 M = 21.31
Hero (SB): t23471 M = 22.35
BB: t1020 M = 0.97
UTG: t23978 M = 22.84
UTG+1: t17471 M = 16.64
UTG+2: t22110 M = 21.06
MP1: t20835 M = 19.84
MP2: t10522 M = 10.02
CO: t10087 M = 9.61
Pre Flop: (t1050) Hero is SB with 3h Tc
UTG calls t400, 6 folds, Hero raises to t2000, 1 fold, UTG calls t1600
Flop: (t4850) Ac 9s 6d (2 players)
Hero bets t2800, UTG raises to t5600, Hero folds
第三手
河牌成4條，本來對手不會全進的牌變成全進，籌碼又回到較早前的水平，翻牌也可以直接先下注，但想看對手會不會繼續下注：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t300/t600 Blinds + t50 - 9 players
BTN: t19276 M = 14.28
Hero (SB): t17671 M = 13.09
BB: t20 M = 0.01
UTG: t27328 M = 20.24
UTG+1: t30193 M = 22.37
UTG+2: t23760 M = 17.60
MP1: t20885 M = 15.47
MP2: t24280 M = 17.99
CO: t12737 M = 9.43
Pre Flop: (t720) Hero is SB with Ks Js
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to t1800, 5 folds, Hero calls t1500, 1 fold
Flop: (t4020) 8d Kc 7h (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG+1 checks
Turn: (t4020) Kh (2 players)
Hero bets t2400, UTG+1 calls t2400
River: (t8820) Kd (2 players)
Hero bets t4444, UTG+1 raises to t15600, Hero calls t8977 all in
Final Pot: t35662
Hero shows Ks Js (four of a kind, Kings)
UTG+1 shows Jh Jd (a full house, Kings full of Jacks)
Hero wins t35482
Hero wins t180
第四手
輾轉已到了三十萬籌碼，不過前面的都是翻牌前全進，也不說了，這手牌也可以早一點加注，但考慮如加注後是否跟全進，而且抽的牌也不少，就先看看河牌再說：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t2000/t4000 Blinds + t400 - 7 players
BB: t215009 M = 24.43
UTG: t102972 M = 11.70
UTG+1: t409726 M = 46.56
MP: t34063 M = 3.87
Hero (CO): t324103 M = 36.83
BTN: t43420 M = 4.93
SB: t42086 M = 4.78
Pre Flop: (t8800) Hero is CO with Th Kh
3 folds, Hero raises to t11111, 2 folds, BB calls t7111
Flop: (t27022) 8h As Qc (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks
Turn: (t27022) 7h (2 players)
BB bets t15000, Hero calls t15000
River: (t57022) Jc (2 players)
BB bets t30000, Hero raises to t297592 all in, BB folds
第五手
這裡我肯定會跟 MP2，但我沒有想到 SB 會用AJo來全進，當時只想到SBBB一定會非常緊，結果成全了MP1單獨享受：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t3000/t6000 Blinds + t600 - 9 players
SB: t212542 M = 14.76
BB: t106944 M = 7.43
UTG: t549167 M = 38.14
UTG+1: t224252 M = 15.57
Hero (UTG+2): t436562 M = 30.32
MP1: t133078 M = 9.24
MP2: t76877 M = 5.34
CO: t224738 M = 15.61
BTN: t117689 M = 8.17
Pre Flop: (t14400) Hero is UTG+2 with Kh Ac
2 folds, Hero raises to t16666, MP1 calls t16666, MP2 raises to t76277 all in, 3 folds, BB raises to t106344 all in, 1 fold, MP1 calls t89678
Flop: (t314031) 2s Td Qc (3 players - 2 are all in)
Turn: (t314031) Jc (3 players - 2 are all in)
River: (t314031) 8s (3 players - 2 are all in)
Final Pot: t314031
BB shows Jd As (a pair of Jacks)
MP1 shows Ah Kd (a straight, Ten to Ace)
MP2 shows Tc Ts (three of a kind, Tens)
MP1 wins t60134
MP1 wins t253897
第六手
對手翻牌只跟，轉牌還有接近2個池，公共牌有兩個抽花這時不容對手抽，但翻牌給了對手兩對，還有一定的籌碼但形勢沒有那麼好了，但後來也重新打上去：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t3500/t7000 Blinds + t700 - 8 players
CO: t166942 M = 10.37
BTN: t193101 M = 11.99
SB: t479967 M = 29.81
BB: t271952 M = 16.89
Hero (UTG): t429796 M = 26.70
UTG+1: t461265 M = 28.65
MP1: t282238 M = 17.53
MP2: t93989 M = 5.84
Pre Flop: (t16100) Hero is UTG with Qh As
Hero raises to t21000, 1 fold, MP1 calls t21000, 5 folds
Flop: (t58100) Kd Ad 7h (2 players)
Hero bets t35000, MP1 calls t35000
Turn: (t128100) Jh (2 players)
Hero bets t373096 all in, MP1 calls t225538 all in
River: (t579176) 8h (2 players - 2 are all in)
Final Pot: t579176
Hero shows Qh As (a pair of Aces)
MP1 shows Jc Ah (two pair, Aces and Jacks)
MP1 wins t579176
最終桌
到了最終桌時我的籌碼有百五萬，比領先者少一點，但大部份人的籌碼也相差不多，OPR也沒有發現任何高手，其中右邊第一位是領先者，有一段時間和我一同領先其他對手不少，最後倒在第三位，右邊第二位是後來和我單打的，在這場比賽同桌了幾百手牌了，這兩人在最終桌早期都經常加注，但後來都好像愈打愈緊，可以說較大的籌碼都在右邊，對我也有位置上的好處，最終桌開始時的注碼是15K/30K。
第七手
第一手較有價值的牌，利用位置的優勢把不小的池偷了下來，這手牌以後右邊似乎在SB跟少了牌，當然這樣打要注意：一是位置，二是對手，另外籌碼數是否需考慮？這時雖然我們是領先者，但並沒有比其他人領先很多，當然如果對手敢全進，恐怕我還得放棄，其他打法如在翻牌繼續下注也是可以的：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t25000/t50000 Blinds + t5000 - 8 players
MP2: t467819 M = 4.07
CO: t629777 M = 5.48
BTN: t916903 M = 7.97
SB: t2087995 M = 18.16
Hero (BB): t2264079 M = 19.69
UTG: t1239760 M = 10.78
UTG+1: t1437545 M = 12.50
MP1: t519122 M = 4.51
Pre Flop: (t115000) Hero is BB with 8d As
6 folds, SB calls t25000, Hero raises to t150000, SB calls t100000
Flop: (t340000) Jd Ks Kd (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks
Turn: (t340000) 7d (2 players)
SB bets t200000, Hero raises to t500000, SB folds
第八手
這次連加兩次對手不領情了：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t25000/t50000 Blinds + t5000 - 8 players
MP2: t439609 M = 3.82
CO: t399777 M = 3.48
BTN: t1278447 M = 11.12
SB: t1762995 M = 15.33
Hero (BB): t2865745 M = 24.92
UTG: t1239760 M = 10.78
UTG+1: t1317545 M = 11.46
MP1: t259122 M = 2.25
Pre Flop: (t115000) Hero is BB with 6h 3h
6 folds, SB calls t25000, Hero checks
Flop: (t140000) Qc 3s Kc (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets t70000, SB calls t70000
Turn: (t280000) 5d (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets t150000, SB calls t150000
River: (t580000) 2h (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks
Final Pot: t580000
SB shows Js Qh (a pair of Queens)
Hero mucks 6h 3h
SB wins t580000
第九手
這手不跟我直接全進，如果是的話不知會怎樣，他也亮了QQ出來：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t40000/t80000 Blinds + t8000 - 4 players
BTN: t1298436 M = 8.54
SB: t1732428 M = 11.40
BB: t3576835 M = 23.53
Hero (CO): t2955301 M = 19.44
Pre Flop: (t152000) Hero is CO with Kc Ad
Hero raises to t200000, 2 folds, BB calls t120000
Flop: (t472000) 9s 3d 5s (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets t255555, BB raises to t800000, Hero folds
Final Pot: t983110
BB shows Qd Qh (a pair of Queens)
BB wins t983110
第十手
KQo在這裡反加全進大了點，小反加不好跟全進同時盲注全進我也不能走，但我覺得這牌還是值得一跟的，可惜沒有把他的全吃過來：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t40000/t80000 Blinds + t8000 - 4 players
SB: t1042436 M = 6.86
BB: t1516428 M = 9.98
CO: t3992390 M = 26.27
Hero (BTN): t3011746 M = 19.81
Pre Flop: (t152000) Hero is BTN with Ks Qd
CO raises to t240000, Hero calls t240000, 2 folds
Flop: (t632000) 8h Qc Kd (2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets t380000, CO folds
第十一手
右邊的輸了一手牌給另一位，奇怪在那一手以後他好像總是被壓制的一方，好像這一手：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t50000/t100000 Blinds + t10000 - 3 players
SB: t3680997 M = 20.45
BB: t2022257 M = 11.23
Hero (BTN): t3859746 M = 21.44
Pre Flop: (t180000) Hero is BTN with 8c Qs
Hero raises to t250000, 1 fold, BB calls t150000
Flop: (t580000) Kh Ad Jd (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets t300000, BB calls t300000
Turn: (t1180000) Qc (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets t3299746 all in, BB folds
第十二手
右邊的對手以極少籌碼老死不掉，我用這樣的牌都可以放心偷第二位的，因為他明顯不敢和我硬碰也沒有這能力：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t50000/t100000 Blinds + t10000 - 3 players
BB: t3792125 M = 21.07
BTN: t133544 M = 0.74
Hero (SB): t5637331 M = 31.32
Pre Flop: (t180000) Hero is SB with 4s 5h
1 fold, Hero raises to t200000, 1 fold
第十三手
這是另一手，在其他時間跟會好一點，但因為第三位籌碼實在太少了，他現在沒有很大的牌都不能跟我的全進，如果他跟了而我輸掉，我仍是極大可能進單打，所以這樣的打法能成立：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t50000/t100000 Blinds + t10000 - 3 players - http://www.thehandconverter.com/hands/328660
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter
BTN: t3558581 M = 19.77
SB: t257088 M = 1.43
Hero (BB): t5747331 M = 31.93
Pre Flop: (t180000) Hero is BB with 5c Ac
BTN raises to t300000, 1 fold, Hero raises to t5737331 all in, 1 fold
第十四手
老死不掉的他也終於出局了：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t50000/t100000 Blinds + t10000 - 3 players
SB: t3138581 M = 17.44
BB: t187088 M = 1.04
Hero (BTN): t6237331 M = 34.65
Pre Flop: (t180000) Hero is BTN with As 5h
Hero raises to t200000, 1 fold, BB calls t77088 all in
Flop: (t434176) Td 2c 3h (2 players - 1 is all in)
Turn: (t434176) 8c (2 players - 1 is all in)
River: (t434176) Qs (2 players - 1 is all in)
Final Pot: t434176
BB shows 4h Ah (high card Ace)
Hero shows As 5h (high card Ace - Queen+Ten+Eight+Five kicker)
Hero wins t434176
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t50000/t100000 Blinds + t10000 - 2 players
BB: t2168581 M = 12.76
Hero (BTN/SB): t7394419 M = 43.50
Pre Flop: (t170000) Hero is BTN/SB with Ac Js
Hero raises to t7384419 all in, BB calls t2058581 all in
Flop: (t4337162) Qh 6h 3d (2 players - 2 are all in)
Turn: (t4337162) 5d (2 players - 2 are all in)
River: (t4337162) Kd (2 players - 2 are all in)
Final Pot: t4337162
BB shows 9d 9s (a pair of Nines)
Hero shows Ac Js (high card Ace)
BB wins t4337162
第十五手
三人時那麼緊，現在竟然這樣跟我三條街：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t50000/t100000 Blinds + t10000 - 2 players
BTN/SB: t3078581 M = 18.11
Hero (BB): t6484419 M = 38.14
Pre Flop: (t170000) Hero is BB with Jd 8d
BTN/SB calls t50000, Hero checks
Flop: (t220000) Ad As Kd (2 players)
Hero bets t100000, BTN/SB calls t100000
Turn: (t420000) 5d (2 players)
Hero bets t250000, BTN/SB calls t250000
River: (t920000) 6s (2 players)
Hero bets t400000, BTN/SB calls t400000
Final Pot: t1720000
BTN/SB mucks 5c Js
Hero shows Jd 8d (a flush, Ace high)
Hero wins t1720000
第十六手
五五的一手，可惜沒有在這裡解決戰鬥：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t50000/t100000 Blinds + t10000 - 2 players
BB: t2168581 M = 12.76
Hero (BTN/SB): t7394419 M = 43.50
Pre Flop: (t170000) Hero is BTN/SB with Ac Js
Hero raises to t7384419 all in, BB calls t2058581 all in
Flop: (t4337162) Qh 6h 3d (2 players - 2 are all in)
Turn: (t4337162) 5d (2 players - 2 are all in)
River: (t4337162) Kd (2 players - 2 are all in)
Final Pot: t4337162
BB shows 9d 9s (a pair of Nines)
Hero shows Ac Js (high card Ace)
BB wins t4337162
第十七手
最後的一手，前面有一手我用A7o 在BB反加了他（不全進）而他放棄了，這次可能因為前面我打得很鬆，選擇用A4o 4-bet我，可惜時機不對，戰鬥也結束了：
Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t60000/t120000 Blinds + t12000 - 2 players
BTN/SB: t3759162 M = 18.43
Hero (BB): t5803838 M = 28.45
Pre Flop: (t204000) Hero is BB with As Ad
BTN/SB raises to t240000, Hero raises to t600000, BTN/SB raises to t3747162 all in, Hero calls t3147162
Flop: (t7518324) Ks 8s 8c (2 players - 1 is all in)
Turn: (t7518324) 8h (2 players - 1 is all in)
River: (t7518324) 6c (2 players - 1 is all in)
Final Pot: t7518324
BTN/SB shows Ac 4h (three of a kind, Eights)
Hero shows As Ad (a full house, Eights full of Aces)
Hero wins t7518324
2009年10月19日 星期一
時隔一年 After 1 year
2008年10月18日，我取得了 11+R 第一名並獲 5490 刀，想不到這個記錄等了整整一年才能打破，幾次較大 FT 都贏不到，8.8+R 從10月16日晚 10 時一直混戰到早上 7 時多，我拿了第一並獲 7982 刀。
在 FT 階段我和右邊的一個人一直領先，一直到 3 個人時右邊的籌碼一次籌碼大減以後，莫名其妙經常只有 2-3BB 都不打牌，因為我籌碼領先，帶給我偷另一個人籌碼的良機，最後單打時前面的鬆終於迎來對手把籌碼全給我的時刻，他用 A4 4-bet 我，我卻拿著 AA，戰鬥也就此結束了。
我將會在下一期新竟技雜誌回顧這場比賽。
On 18 Oct 2008, I won $11+R on PS and won the first prize of $5,490. I cannot imagine I need to wait a whole year to break this record as I didn't win several final tables in big MTT. On 16 Oct 2008, I played $8.8+R from 10pm for more than 9 hours. I won that tournament and obtained the first prize of $7,982.
During FT, the player on my right and me kept leading in chips until 3 players left. Then he lost some chips to another players and suddenly played tighter even he had 2-3BB left. Since I have the biggest stack I can steal from another player very easily. Those loose plays finally made me get all the chips during headsup. He used A4o to 4-bet me, but I had AA. The battle is finished.
I will give a review of this tournament in next issue of online magazine 新竟技雜誌.
在 FT 階段我和右邊的一個人一直領先，一直到 3 個人時右邊的籌碼一次籌碼大減以後，莫名其妙經常只有 2-3BB 都不打牌，因為我籌碼領先，帶給我偷另一個人籌碼的良機，最後單打時前面的鬆終於迎來對手把籌碼全給我的時刻，他用 A4 4-bet 我，我卻拿著 AA，戰鬥也就此結束了。
我將會在下一期新竟技雜誌回顧這場比賽。
On 18 Oct 2008, I won $11+R on PS and won the first prize of $5,490. I cannot imagine I need to wait a whole year to break this record as I didn't win several final tables in big MTT. On 16 Oct 2008, I played $8.8+R from 10pm for more than 9 hours. I won that tournament and obtained the first prize of $7,982.
During FT, the player on my right and me kept leading in chips until 3 players left. Then he lost some chips to another players and suddenly played tighter even he had 2-3BB left. Since I have the biggest stack I can steal from another player very easily. Those loose plays finally made me get all the chips during headsup. He used A4o to 4-bet me, but I had AA. The battle is finished.
I will give a review of this tournament in next issue of online magazine 新竟技雜誌.
2009年10月10日 星期六
[cpf123 新竟技文章] 比賽中15BB （或 M = 10）時期的加注打法
我在cpf123論壇上已經指出在這時期各類底牌的優劣，在此我以下列的表來簡單重複一次：
好了，現在說一下當前面都已經棄牌，你決定是否加注還是放棄（要注意我這裡說的是沒有跟注，在這個時期要打只有加注，因為隱含賠率不高，單跟注只有眼睜睜看著後面一個加注偷去你的籌碼，加注的話只要加注偷的籌碼比被反偷放棄的籌碼多，就已經滿足了），要考慮的因素有：
1. 我加注後是否能跟全進
2. 如果對手跟，我的牌轉牌後好不好打
3. 對手的籌碼數
4. 對手跟注及反加的可能
下面解釋以上的因素怎樣應用：
情況1：
你在槍下，首先看看後面對手的籌碼，假如全部都有大約 M=10或以上，而這張枱的對手不是反加便是不打，那麼除了能跟全進的一些牌，其他的牌作用只能是偷籌碼，這時你用72o 加注或是用 JTs 加注，作用是沒有分別。但是如果有些對手會跟注，而你被反加的機會不是很大， JTs 這些牌變成除了偷籌碼還是有作用的一手牌。至於像 22-55 這些牌，又不能跟全進，轉牌後又不好打，最好還是不打。
不過，如果你不打JTs 也沒有關係，但是若是你知道除了能跟全進的牌那些牌較好，你可偶而選擇打一些邊緣牌，如果桌是比較鬆的，還是不要打JTs，集中打強牌好了。
情況2：
你在槍下，緊跟後面的兩個對手有 M=10 以上的籌碼，後面其他人都是只有 M=5以下，除了緊跟你的兩個對手任何人反加你都能跟，這時你拿 44，如果當成 15bb 的打法這牌是不好打的，但對於這手牌假設緊跟後面的2人因位置問題都不會隨便跟或反加，如果他們反加基本上都可以放棄，這時你加 44 的話是等於除那兩人外是把其他對手打成全進（因為反加可以跟），44 變成能加注的牌，如果對手只跟的話你基本上可以轉牌後100%全進 。但是這時若是 JTs，加注便不好了，因為你沒有道理在槍下全進後面的人，當一個對手反加你全進，JTs 變成不好的一手牌。
情況3：
你在按鈕，前面所有人已放棄，因為只有兩個人偷的成功機會較大，不過對手也可能同時會這麼想，如果你偷的太多，會觀察的對手識破你的意圖後便會大量的反偷，因為雖然對手在盲注，一個反偷全進都不用轉牌，這時你便會很困難，請記著對手這樣打的話位置最佳是 大盲，不是按鈕，所以你加注的話要考慮在這裡加注什麼牌能跟反偷，什麼牌不能，對著實力強的 大盲 （當然還有些實力不強但不管怎樣反偷了再算），不能跟全進的牌不能太多，否則吃虧的反而是你。當然如果對手是弱緊手多一些加注也是可行的，因為對手反加只會是有份量的牌。
下期我會對反偷及對付反偷作一討論。
底牌類型 轉牌前跟全進的能力 被跟打轉牌後的能力
小對 22-55 中下 下
中對66-99 中上 中
小同花連牌（如 54s） 下 下
大同花連牌（如 JTs、KTs、AXs） 中下 中
大連牌不同花（如 QJo） 下 中下
大 A （AT – AQ） 中上 中上
大對及AK （TT-AA、AK） 上 上
小對 22-55 中下 下
中對66-99 中上 中
小同花連牌（如 54s） 下 下
大同花連牌（如 JTs、KTs、AXs） 中下 中
大連牌不同花（如 QJo） 下 中下
大 A （AT – AQ） 中上 中上
大對及AK （TT-AA、AK） 上 上
好了，現在說一下當前面都已經棄牌，你決定是否加注還是放棄（要注意我這裡說的是沒有跟注，在這個時期要打只有加注，因為隱含賠率不高，單跟注只有眼睜睜看著後面一個加注偷去你的籌碼，加注的話只要加注偷的籌碼比被反偷放棄的籌碼多，就已經滿足了），要考慮的因素有：
1. 我加注後是否能跟全進
2. 如果對手跟，我的牌轉牌後好不好打
3. 對手的籌碼數
4. 對手跟注及反加的可能
下面解釋以上的因素怎樣應用：
情況1：
你在槍下，首先看看後面對手的籌碼，假如全部都有大約 M=10或以上，而這張枱的對手不是反加便是不打，那麼除了能跟全進的一些牌，其他的牌作用只能是偷籌碼，這時你用72o 加注或是用 JTs 加注，作用是沒有分別。但是如果有些對手會跟注，而你被反加的機會不是很大， JTs 這些牌變成除了偷籌碼還是有作用的一手牌。至於像 22-55 這些牌，又不能跟全進，轉牌後又不好打，最好還是不打。
不過，如果你不打JTs 也沒有關係，但是若是你知道除了能跟全進的牌那些牌較好，你可偶而選擇打一些邊緣牌，如果桌是比較鬆的，還是不要打JTs，集中打強牌好了。
情況2：
你在槍下，緊跟後面的兩個對手有 M=10 以上的籌碼，後面其他人都是只有 M=5以下，除了緊跟你的兩個對手任何人反加你都能跟，這時你拿 44，如果當成 15bb 的打法這牌是不好打的，但對於這手牌假設緊跟後面的2人因位置問題都不會隨便跟或反加，如果他們反加基本上都可以放棄，這時你加 44 的話是等於除那兩人外是把其他對手打成全進（因為反加可以跟），44 變成能加注的牌，如果對手只跟的話你基本上可以轉牌後100%全進 。但是這時若是 JTs，加注便不好了，因為你沒有道理在槍下全進後面的人，當一個對手反加你全進，JTs 變成不好的一手牌。
情況3：
你在按鈕，前面所有人已放棄，因為只有兩個人偷的成功機會較大，不過對手也可能同時會這麼想，如果你偷的太多，會觀察的對手識破你的意圖後便會大量的反偷，因為雖然對手在盲注，一個反偷全進都不用轉牌，這時你便會很困難，請記著對手這樣打的話位置最佳是 大盲，不是按鈕，所以你加注的話要考慮在這裡加注什麼牌能跟反偷，什麼牌不能，對著實力強的 大盲 （當然還有些實力不強但不管怎樣反偷了再算），不能跟全進的牌不能太多，否則吃虧的反而是你。當然如果對手是弱緊手多一些加注也是可行的，因為對手反加只會是有份量的牌。
下期我會對反偷及對付反偷作一討論。
2009年8月21日 星期五
單桌賽重要的概念: ICM
ICM (Independent Chip Model) 在單桌賽是非常重要的，在多桌賽也有影響，但因為剛剛進錢時只有很少錢，重要性不如單桌賽。
在單桌賽中，第三名可拿到20%的獎金，但第一也只拿到50%的獎金，因此愈到比賽後期，特別是在4人的時候，變得非常重要，這時你拿到翻倍的籌碼，但你的 EV 並沒有翻倍。
看看 Leslie (Player 3) 一場單桌賽，4個人的時候他拿 AA 然後把其中一個對手淘汰的情況：
4人時：
3人時：
可以看到他雖然籌碼翻倍，但 EV 只能從 0.23 增加至 0.37，反而其他兩個沒有出局的 EV 都增加了，因為他們已確定進錢。
ICM 怎麼算？以下是我自己在 Excel 中的計算：
假設所有人的實力一樣，拿第一的機會大約是按籌碼的比例計算，然後再算第二的機會，首先其中一個拿了第一，另外兩人的籌碼數對比得出拿第二的機會，再把它們加起來，其他就是第三的機會了，再把每個名次的機會乘以所得的獎金比例加起來，就得到各人 EV 的數。
如果上面是跟的情況，要算出什麼牌能跟，（實際不是 pf 前跟，不過以下計算是給各位看看要跟多緊）：
勝率 x 增加的 EV = (1 - 勝率) x 減少的 EV
w% x (0.3733 - 0.2365) = (1-w%) x (0.2365 - 0.021) （輸了該手牌 EV 降至 0.021，在此不再計算）
w% = 0.2155 / 0.3733 = 57.73%
你要有 57.73% 才能跟，如果對手打 30% 的話，你將只能跟 AJo, ATs, 99+。
所以在4人時你必須要跟得很緊，如果你是推的那位，你現在排第二，後面有人比你多，你也要推得比平常緊，如果你排在第一，並且有一段領先距離，這時你可以比平常鬆很多，盡情欺負小籌碼。
在單桌賽中，第三名可拿到20%的獎金，但第一也只拿到50%的獎金，因此愈到比賽後期，特別是在4人的時候，變得非常重要，這時你拿到翻倍的籌碼，但你的 EV 並沒有翻倍。
看看 Leslie (Player 3) 一場單桌賽，4個人的時候他拿 AA 然後把其中一個對手淘汰的情況：
4人時：
3人時：
可以看到他雖然籌碼翻倍，但 EV 只能從 0.23 增加至 0.37，反而其他兩個沒有出局的 EV 都增加了，因為他們已確定進錢。
ICM 怎麼算？以下是我自己在 Excel 中的計算：
假設所有人的實力一樣，拿第一的機會大約是按籌碼的比例計算，然後再算第二的機會，首先其中一個拿了第一，另外兩人的籌碼數對比得出拿第二的機會，再把它們加起來，其他就是第三的機會了，再把每個名次的機會乘以所得的獎金比例加起來，就得到各人 EV 的數。
如果上面是跟的情況，要算出什麼牌能跟，（實際不是 pf 前跟，不過以下計算是給各位看看要跟多緊）：
勝率 x 增加的 EV = (1 - 勝率) x 減少的 EV
w% x (0.3733 - 0.2365) = (1-w%) x (0.2365 - 0.021) （輸了該手牌 EV 降至 0.021，在此不再計算）
w% = 0.2155 / 0.3733 = 57.73%
你要有 57.73% 才能跟，如果對手打 30% 的話，你將只能跟 AJo, ATs, 99+。
所以在4人時你必須要跟得很緊，如果你是推的那位，你現在排第二，後面有人比你多，你也要推得比平常緊，如果你排在第一，並且有一段領先距離，這時你可以比平常鬆很多，盡情欺負小籌碼。
比賽技巧：15BB 時期底牌的價值
在15BB（或 10 個 未 opened 的 pot） 左右在撲克比賽中是一個特別的時期，在這時你如果全推往往會顯得太多，但如果像深籌碼一樣打，又沒有足夠 implied odd 去看 flop，因此這個時期打法和全推及深籌碼都不一樣。
小對：小對在深籌碼和全推期都是比較好打的牌，但在15BB時期是非常不好打，舉例你在 UTG 拿 22 ，如果你選擇加注， 有人再加你不能跟，有人跟注呢？flop 一般出 3 張較大的牌的可能性比出一張 2 的機會大得多，你 cbet 對手全推，你怎麼辦？對手可能是偷雞（但很可能有兩張比 2 大的牌）、半偷雞（抽花或抽順再加兩張比 2 大的牌）、比你大的口袋對、或者 flop 中一對，這時你只有 fold，結果是你拿 72o 在 UTG 加注效果和 22 並沒有太大分別
小同花連牌：和小對情況差別不大，很多時候只能拿小對，好一點的是多了半偷雞的可能，但基本上還是差別不大
中對：情況比小對好一點因為有些時候能跟 preflop all in，但見 flop 後還是有些不好打，經常會出現跟也不是、不跟也不是的情況，需要很多時候判斷對手的打法
大同花連牌（如 T9s, JTs, QJs, KQs, AXs 等）：這些牌還是不能跟 preflop all in（A8s、KQs等牌有時可以），但 flop 後情況要比小對好，沒有對輕易放棄，有對時常常是頂對，不是頂對也是第２對（這時候不比口袋中對差），有抽牌經常可以半偷雞
其他像 JTo、AXo，比同花連牌差一些
大牌不用說吧。
小對：小對在深籌碼和全推期都是比較好打的牌，但在15BB時期是非常不好打，舉例你在 UTG 拿 22 ，如果你選擇加注， 有人再加你不能跟，有人跟注呢？flop 一般出 3 張較大的牌的可能性比出一張 2 的機會大得多，你 cbet 對手全推，你怎麼辦？對手可能是偷雞（但很可能有兩張比 2 大的牌）、半偷雞（抽花或抽順再加兩張比 2 大的牌）、比你大的口袋對、或者 flop 中一對，這時你只有 fold，結果是你拿 72o 在 UTG 加注效果和 22 並沒有太大分別
小同花連牌：和小對情況差別不大，很多時候只能拿小對，好一點的是多了半偷雞的可能，但基本上還是差別不大
中對：情況比小對好一點因為有些時候能跟 preflop all in，但見 flop 後還是有些不好打，經常會出現跟也不是、不跟也不是的情況，需要很多時候判斷對手的打法
大同花連牌（如 T9s, JTs, QJs, KQs, AXs 等）：這些牌還是不能跟 preflop all in（A8s、KQs等牌有時可以），但 flop 後情況要比小對好，沒有對輕易放棄，有對時常常是頂對，不是頂對也是第２對（這時候不比口袋中對差），有抽牌經常可以半偷雞
其他像 JTo、AXo，比同花連牌差一些
大牌不用說吧。
2009年4月2日 星期四
怎樣控制 tilt 的情況
我老婆經常說我在打撲克的時候發脾氣，自從開始打長時間以後，發覺控制 tilt 變得更重要，因為我即使覺得自己在 tilt，我也不是很想離開，這和有正職收入時感覺完全不同。
其實 tilt 還可以包括你是否在最佳狀態，狀態不好的時候發覺鼠標移動都變得慢起來，也往往沒有想清楚就打，首先你要留意有什麼事情會讓你 tilt：
1. 你的健康：長期對電腦和用鼠標會使你的脖子、肩部、手部疲勞甚至疼痛，如果你的健康不佳，對你打牌持久能力也有很大影響，另外如果坐姿不好，身體可能會出現更多問題如腰部、背部等。
2. 睡眠不足、饑餓等
3. 持續不順利及 bad beat 出現多的時候
4. 經過長時間打牌後身體開始疲勞
1 和 2 可能使你不能在最佳狀態打牌，3 就要看個人控制脾氣的能力。
以下是我建議的一些方法，當然方法可能有更多：
1. 使用激光鼠標，比光學鼠標準確，避免因鼠標不準確導致手部更易疲勞，有些人甚至會選擇一些人體力學的鼠標，但我沒有試過不知道使用的時候會不會感覺不方 便，另外有人使用 Auto Hotkey 減少使用鼠標，不過我沒有用它，另外我還會戴上護腕減少手腕與枱面的摩擦。
2. 好一點的枱和椅，枱面最好是木的，鼠標可以移動得更快更準確，不需要很貴的枱椅，感覺舒適便可以。
3. 當你開始覺得脖子、肩部、手部不好時，是時候做一次按摩了。
4. 運動增強個人的持久力。
5. 充足的睡眠，打牌前確保已吃飽，否則請準備咖啡、食物在你的面前，但是不要因為有咖啡而不睡覺，打牌時一定有杯水在身邊。
6. 控制不順時的脾氣，不過我想我還要學習，如果開始發脾氣可以先行減枱，打緊一點避免犯錯的機會，不要讓脾氣控制你總是覺得別人在偷雞而在不適當的時候加注，待心情好一點的時候再加枱。
7. 當你已打了很久，特別是像打長比賽 6-7 個小時後，此時如感覺疲勞，是時候減枱了，特別是你已到大賽的最終桌時，當你拿第一的機會比別人高時你的 ROI 也會提高不少，我在平常打到 8 張枱甚至更多（因為往往我會先行登記想打的定時比賽而正在打的又未出局），但到這時我常常只有不超過 4 張枱。如果你真的覺得很累，就像李小龍在死亡遊戲在打 Jabbar 時所心裡想的：「我已經很累...不，我對手比我更累」。
其實 tilt 還可以包括你是否在最佳狀態，狀態不好的時候發覺鼠標移動都變得慢起來，也往往沒有想清楚就打，首先你要留意有什麼事情會讓你 tilt：
1. 你的健康：長期對電腦和用鼠標會使你的脖子、肩部、手部疲勞甚至疼痛，如果你的健康不佳，對你打牌持久能力也有很大影響，另外如果坐姿不好，身體可能會出現更多問題如腰部、背部等。
2. 睡眠不足、饑餓等
3. 持續不順利及 bad beat 出現多的時候
4. 經過長時間打牌後身體開始疲勞
1 和 2 可能使你不能在最佳狀態打牌，3 就要看個人控制脾氣的能力。
以下是我建議的一些方法，當然方法可能有更多：
1. 使用激光鼠標，比光學鼠標準確，避免因鼠標不準確導致手部更易疲勞，有些人甚至會選擇一些人體力學的鼠標，但我沒有試過不知道使用的時候會不會感覺不方 便，另外有人使用 Auto Hotkey 減少使用鼠標，不過我沒有用它，另外我還會戴上護腕減少手腕與枱面的摩擦。
2. 好一點的枱和椅，枱面最好是木的，鼠標可以移動得更快更準確，不需要很貴的枱椅，感覺舒適便可以。
3. 當你開始覺得脖子、肩部、手部不好時，是時候做一次按摩了。
4. 運動增強個人的持久力。
5. 充足的睡眠，打牌前確保已吃飽，否則請準備咖啡、食物在你的面前，但是不要因為有咖啡而不睡覺，打牌時一定有杯水在身邊。
6. 控制不順時的脾氣，不過我想我還要學習，如果開始發脾氣可以先行減枱，打緊一點避免犯錯的機會，不要讓脾氣控制你總是覺得別人在偷雞而在不適當的時候加注，待心情好一點的時候再加枱。
7. 當你已打了很久，特別是像打長比賽 6-7 個小時後，此時如感覺疲勞，是時候減枱了，特別是你已到大賽的最終桌時，當你拿第一的機會比別人高時你的 ROI 也會提高不少，我在平常打到 8 張枱甚至更多（因為往往我會先行登記想打的定時比賽而正在打的又未出局），但到這時我常常只有不超過 4 張枱。如果你真的覺得很累，就像李小龍在死亡遊戲在打 Jabbar 時所心裡想的：「我已經很累...不，我對手比我更累」。
2009年3月23日 星期一
Macau Cup 21 Mar
21 Mar
Pokerstars Macau finally found that staying in Grand Waldo could not bring them customers so they decided to move to Grand Lisboa Casino and, I think, managed the poker room together (or not) with the original management. They claimed that they have 22 tables and is the biggest poker room in Asia. When I arrived there on Saturday there were no empty table. Great move by PSM.
I met 上海漁民 Shanghai Fisherman, and 建設 Construction who were posters in cpf123.net, the Chinese Poker Forum. Construction were sitting on my right on the 1st table in the Red Dragon event. Starting chips were 5k and 40 min. each level so it will be a long tournament. The first hour was pretty card dead and I was falling asleep. At 50/100 everyone folded to me at sb and I looked up A3o so I raised and BB called. Flop was A 5 x I bet and BB called. Turn was 2 with 3 clubs board and I checked the BB decided to take the pot from me but I didn't believe he had a flush so I checked raise him all in and he folded. Construction said I played this similar to my online play.
1st table was broken. Another hand I raised Tc9c from MP and a Macau regular who reraised me 2x so I decided to call. Flop was 8 7 x with 2 spades and 1 club I checked raised all in again, he thought I was drawing so he called with AJ and I had 16 outs altogether. Turn was 6 so I was doubled up to over 10k.
2nd and 3rd tables were broken and I went to my 4th table. Someone shoved 88 and I called QQ at BB and my hand held up and I had 20k at that time. Twice I raised with bottom pair and was called and I was folded to bets at the flops. The final hand was 44 at button I wasn't very happy with the way of 2 previous small pairs. I had about 16k at that time and the blind was 300/600 ante 75, so I had around M of 10. When playing online I was switching between shoving and raising small but I think the previous 2 hands influenced me to choose shoving instead and Jason Ho called with AA at BB and I lost. Jason disagreed with me on that shove but I said I usually do this online. Afterwards I think again this hand and I think I would be better to raise/fold given that my big hands will be more likely to be paid off. Online the play was tighter and the skill difference is lesser so a shove would be alright.
22 Mar
The next day I didn't have time to play $100+R so I played cash games instead. I played 10/20 and the table was so fishy with 6-8 players in pot in a lot of hands so I basically played ABC poker. There was one interesting hand when everyone folded to the SB and SB asked BB that bvb is not meaningful and he wanted to just take the chips instead and BB agreed. However BB should say he wanted to play. SB is either folding to BB, or if SB limped BB can raise any hand because SB basically told BB he had a bad hand.
I bought in $2000. I raised over limpers in position early twice but folded to bets postflop so the stack dropped somehow. A while later I have AKo in position and I raised over limpers again and a westerner called in BB (or UTG?) who seems more reasonable player. Small flop came he bet weak with 100 so I raised him to 400. He thought for a very long time and decided to call. At this time I am almost certain he had a mid pair and was afraid of a bigger pair with me so any bet in turn would get him to fold. Turn showed K so I was putting him all in and he folded. Everyone thought I had a big pair and I said I didn't. Well if no A or K at turn I would still possibly bet again.
I completed with JTo one hand after several limpers and flop comes 9 8 7. I checked and everyone checked. Turn was another 7 so I bet and the weak player on my immediate right, who played almost every hand, called. River was J I bet another and was reraised min. to me so I just called in case he had full house. He showed A7. I don't know if he wanted to bluff or value bet here.
Another hand I completed SB with A8. Flop 8 6 3, I wanted to lead out but accidentally put my hand on the table and the dealer thought I checked, never mind. It was checked around. Turn was A, I bet and someone raised me and the weak player to my right called, I am not going to slow down against 2 players so I reraised and both players folded.
I was at CO and the player at MP raised to 70 and hijack called. I looked at JJ and reraised to 300 and the button, who sat down not for a long time, called. The MP called and hijack folded. Flop T x x, MP checked I bet 700. Button thought for very long time and he folded. MP folded too and they asked me to show AA. When button saw JJ he was very disappointed because he was holding QQ.
I won $1.5k from cash after 4.5 hours and then I need to go to the pier.
Pokerstars Macau finally found that staying in Grand Waldo could not bring them customers so they decided to move to Grand Lisboa Casino and, I think, managed the poker room together (or not) with the original management. They claimed that they have 22 tables and is the biggest poker room in Asia. When I arrived there on Saturday there were no empty table. Great move by PSM.
I met 上海漁民 Shanghai Fisherman, and 建設 Construction who were posters in cpf123.net, the Chinese Poker Forum. Construction were sitting on my right on the 1st table in the Red Dragon event. Starting chips were 5k and 40 min. each level so it will be a long tournament. The first hour was pretty card dead and I was falling asleep. At 50/100 everyone folded to me at sb and I looked up A3o so I raised and BB called. Flop was A 5 x I bet and BB called. Turn was 2 with 3 clubs board and I checked the BB decided to take the pot from me but I didn't believe he had a flush so I checked raise him all in and he folded. Construction said I played this similar to my online play.
1st table was broken. Another hand I raised Tc9c from MP and a Macau regular who reraised me 2x so I decided to call. Flop was 8 7 x with 2 spades and 1 club I checked raised all in again, he thought I was drawing so he called with AJ and I had 16 outs altogether. Turn was 6 so I was doubled up to over 10k.
2nd and 3rd tables were broken and I went to my 4th table. Someone shoved 88 and I called QQ at BB and my hand held up and I had 20k at that time. Twice I raised with bottom pair and was called and I was folded to bets at the flops. The final hand was 44 at button I wasn't very happy with the way of 2 previous small pairs. I had about 16k at that time and the blind was 300/600 ante 75, so I had around M of 10. When playing online I was switching between shoving and raising small but I think the previous 2 hands influenced me to choose shoving instead and Jason Ho called with AA at BB and I lost. Jason disagreed with me on that shove but I said I usually do this online. Afterwards I think again this hand and I think I would be better to raise/fold given that my big hands will be more likely to be paid off. Online the play was tighter and the skill difference is lesser so a shove would be alright.
22 Mar
The next day I didn't have time to play $100+R so I played cash games instead. I played 10/20 and the table was so fishy with 6-8 players in pot in a lot of hands so I basically played ABC poker. There was one interesting hand when everyone folded to the SB and SB asked BB that bvb is not meaningful and he wanted to just take the chips instead and BB agreed. However BB should say he wanted to play. SB is either folding to BB, or if SB limped BB can raise any hand because SB basically told BB he had a bad hand.
I bought in $2000. I raised over limpers in position early twice but folded to bets postflop so the stack dropped somehow. A while later I have AKo in position and I raised over limpers again and a westerner called in BB (or UTG?) who seems more reasonable player. Small flop came he bet weak with 100 so I raised him to 400. He thought for a very long time and decided to call. At this time I am almost certain he had a mid pair and was afraid of a bigger pair with me so any bet in turn would get him to fold. Turn showed K so I was putting him all in and he folded. Everyone thought I had a big pair and I said I didn't. Well if no A or K at turn I would still possibly bet again.
I completed with JTo one hand after several limpers and flop comes 9 8 7. I checked and everyone checked. Turn was another 7 so I bet and the weak player on my immediate right, who played almost every hand, called. River was J I bet another and was reraised min. to me so I just called in case he had full house. He showed A7. I don't know if he wanted to bluff or value bet here.
Another hand I completed SB with A8. Flop 8 6 3, I wanted to lead out but accidentally put my hand on the table and the dealer thought I checked, never mind. It was checked around. Turn was A, I bet and someone raised me and the weak player to my right called, I am not going to slow down against 2 players so I reraised and both players folded.
I was at CO and the player at MP raised to 70 and hijack called. I looked at JJ and reraised to 300 and the button, who sat down not for a long time, called. The MP called and hijack folded. Flop T x x, MP checked I bet 700. Button thought for very long time and he folded. MP folded too and they asked me to show AA. When button saw JJ he was very disappointed because he was holding QQ.
I won $1.5k from cash after 4.5 hours and then I need to go to the pier.
2009年2月25日 星期三
衛星賽基本
簡單的計算。
現在只剩 4 個人，頭 3 位可以得到入場劵，大家籌碼差不多，基本計算你有 75% 機會得到入場劵，現在有人 all in 而你在 bb，你在這手必須要75%勝率才可以跟，就是 KK 都很勉強，奇怪的是常常見到有人跟那些 50/50 的牌，於是你可以不用做什麼便贏了。
舉一個實戰例子吧！
Poker Stars $2.00+$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t625/t1250 Blinds + t150 - 4 players - View hand 48024
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com
Hero (BTN): t78397 M = 31.68
sari66 (SB): t8951 M = 3.62
berenyo (BB): t32957 M = 13.32
Beuber (CO): t89981 M = 36.36
Pre Flop: (t2475) Hero is BTN with 6
6
1 fold, Hero raises to t3750, 1 fold, berenyo calls t2500
Flop: (t8725) 6
A 9 (2 players)
berenyo checks, Hero bets t5000, berenyo raises to t29057 all in, Hero calls t24057
Turn: (t66839) 5
(2 players - 1 is all in)
River: (t66839) T (2 players - 1 is all in)
Final Pot: t66839
Hero shows 6 6 (three of a kind, Sixes)
berenyo shows 9 T(two pair, Tens and Nines)
Hero wins t66839
對手是疯狂的，當時的情況是8進7，這張桌和另一張桌兩個只有10000的玩家都 已經失踪了，我其實可以不打也能拿入場劵，但我打的話只要避免與 Beuber 硬碰便不會有問題，即使輸給了 berenyo 我後面不打牌便行，相反 berenyo 如果打牌將冒出局的風險，如果他不打牌等其中一個少籌碼出局他已經是 100% 贏了，但是對手竟然打牌，還用中對推我，我心想我都已經拿 set 了，你如果這樣打我就成全你出局好了。
Poker Stars $10+$1 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t1500/t3000 Blinds + t300 - 8 players - View hand 48028
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com
Hero (UTG+1): t7045 M = 1.02
CASTLEMILK (MP1): t4090 M = 0.59
sawyer2591 (MP2): t8410 M = 1.22
tignas62 (CO): t78242 M = 11.34
firefox18 (BTN): t24710 M = 3.58
BentzahAA (SB): t6655 M = 0.96
Turboman10r (BB): t30129 M = 4.37
1keeper1 (UTG): t20219 M = 2.93
Pre Flop: (t6900) Hero is UTG+1 with Q A
1 fold, Hero raises to t6745 all in, CASTLEMILK calls t3790 all in, sawyer2591 calls t6745, 3 folds, Turboman10r calls t3745
Flop: (t27925) 9 3 4 (4 players - 2 are all in)
Turboman10r checks, sawyer2591 bets t1365 all in, Turboman10r folds
Turn: (t27925) 2 (3 players - 3 are all in)
River: (t27925) 6 (3 players - 3 are all in)
Final Pot: t27925
Hero shows Q A (high card Ace)
CASTLEMILK shows A J (high card Ace)
sawyer2591 shows K K (a pair of Kings)
sawyer2591 wins t8865
sawyer2591 wins t19060
現在的情況出局者將在我和 Castlemilk 之間產生，如果我和 Castlemilk 一直不打至我們在 SB vs BB 時硬碰，誰勝誰負很難說（留意我在 BB 時將先扣 3000，所以到了 SB 時我和他的籌碼基本上差不多，誰輸了便會出局，這樣我是 50% 機會出局）這是我拿到一手還不錯的牌，我認為就算有人跟我機會還是不錯的，所以我推了，Castlemilk 可能心想也是時候和我決生死了，所以他也跟了，結果後面再跟個 KK，我和 Castlemilk 同時出局但我籌碼較多還是拿到入場劵。
至於 sawyer2591 是否應該跟 KK 呢？問題是如果 Castlemilk 拿主彩池、 我拿副彩池，他便極可能會出局，假設我和 Castlemilk 在這裡都是推 10% 的牌，KK贏其中一個將是 73%，出現「Castlemilk 拿主彩池、我拿副彩池」的機會便是 3.5%，加上他輸了這手還有可能翻身，我想跟也可以吧，但是如果 Castlemilk 並沒有跟，你認為 sawyer2591 是否應該跟 KK？
現在只剩 4 個人，頭 3 位可以得到入場劵，大家籌碼差不多，基本計算你有 75% 機會得到入場劵，現在有人 all in 而你在 bb，你在這手必須要75%勝率才可以跟，就是 KK 都很勉強，奇怪的是常常見到有人跟那些 50/50 的牌，於是你可以不用做什麼便贏了。
舉一個實戰例子吧！
Poker Stars $2.00+$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t625/t1250 Blinds + t150 - 4 players - View hand 48024
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com
Hero (BTN): t78397 M = 31.68
sari66 (SB): t8951 M = 3.62
berenyo (BB): t32957 M = 13.32
Beuber (CO): t89981 M = 36.36
Pre Flop: (t2475) Hero is BTN with 6
61 fold, Hero raises to t3750, 1 fold, berenyo calls t2500
Flop: (t8725) 6
A 9 (2 players)berenyo checks, Hero bets t5000, berenyo raises to t29057 all in, Hero calls t24057
Turn: (t66839) 5
(2 players - 1 is all in)River: (t66839) T
(2 players - 1 is all in)Final Pot: t66839
Hero shows 6
6 (three of a kind, Sixes)berenyo shows 9
T(two pair, Tens and Nines)Hero wins t66839
對手是疯狂的，當時的情況是8進7，這張桌和另一張桌兩個只有10000的玩家都 已經失踪了，我其實可以不打也能拿入場劵，但我打的話只要避免與 Beuber 硬碰便不會有問題，即使輸給了 berenyo 我後面不打牌便行，相反 berenyo 如果打牌將冒出局的風險，如果他不打牌等其中一個少籌碼出局他已經是 100% 贏了，但是對手竟然打牌，還用中對推我，我心想我都已經拿 set 了，你如果這樣打我就成全你出局好了。
Poker Stars $10+$1 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t1500/t3000 Blinds + t300 - 8 players - View hand 48028
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com
Hero (UTG+1): t7045 M = 1.02
CASTLEMILK (MP1): t4090 M = 0.59
sawyer2591 (MP2): t8410 M = 1.22
tignas62 (CO): t78242 M = 11.34
firefox18 (BTN): t24710 M = 3.58
BentzahAA (SB): t6655 M = 0.96
Turboman10r (BB): t30129 M = 4.37
1keeper1 (UTG): t20219 M = 2.93
Pre Flop: (t6900) Hero is UTG+1 with Q
A1 fold, Hero raises to t6745 all in, CASTLEMILK calls t3790 all in, sawyer2591 calls t6745, 3 folds, Turboman10r calls t3745
Flop: (t27925) 9
3 4 (4 players - 2 are all in)Turboman10r checks, sawyer2591 bets t1365 all in, Turboman10r folds
Turn: (t27925) 2
(3 players - 3 are all in)River: (t27925) 6
(3 players - 3 are all in)Final Pot: t27925
Hero shows Q
A (high card Ace)CASTLEMILK shows A
J (high card Ace)sawyer2591 shows K
K (a pair of Kings)sawyer2591 wins t8865
sawyer2591 wins t19060
現在的情況出局者將在我和 Castlemilk 之間產生，如果我和 Castlemilk 一直不打至我們在 SB vs BB 時硬碰，誰勝誰負很難說（留意我在 BB 時將先扣 3000，所以到了 SB 時我和他的籌碼基本上差不多，誰輸了便會出局，這樣我是 50% 機會出局）這是我拿到一手還不錯的牌，我認為就算有人跟我機會還是不錯的，所以我推了，Castlemilk 可能心想也是時候和我決生死了，所以他也跟了，結果後面再跟個 KK，我和 Castlemilk 同時出局但我籌碼較多還是拿到入場劵。
至於 sawyer2591 是否應該跟 KK 呢？問題是如果 Castlemilk 拿主彩池、 我拿副彩池，他便極可能會出局，假設我和 Castlemilk 在這裡都是推 10% 的牌，KK贏其中一個將是 73%，出現「Castlemilk 拿主彩池、我拿副彩池」的機會便是 3.5%，加上他輸了這手還有可能翻身，我想跟也可以吧，但是如果 Castlemilk 並沒有跟，你認為 sawyer2591 是否應該跟 KK？
2009年2月19日 星期四
Satellite basic
Some simple calculation.
Suppose there are 4 players left with the chips pretty even, and there will be 3 seats to be won. You have 75% chance to win a seat. Now someone is going all in and you are in BB, you will need at least 75% to win this hand if you are going to call this and even KK can be marginal. However so many time I saw players that were coinflipping at this time and I sit there to look at how I get the seat without doing anything.
Suppose there are 4 players left with the chips pretty even, and there will be 3 seats to be won. You have 75% chance to win a seat. Now someone is going all in and you are in BB, you will need at least 75% to win this hand if you are going to call this and even KK can be marginal. However so many time I saw players that were coinflipping at this time and I sit there to look at how I get the seat without doing anything.
2009年2月1日 星期日
Grand Waldo Weekly 31/1/08
This was my 4th MTTs I played in Grand Waldo. Unlike the previous ones I revealed my online identity, which probably may not be good because the others could view me as a new live player since I am still not totally comfortable with live games yet. I still made the error of putting single chip intending to raise but forgot to announce raise. However I think I will become better. I still like playing live poker because I am seeing the real people and unlike playing online which I rarely chat because of multi-tabling. Also people seem to be more friendly than online, probably because we don't know the other players. And I feel less likely to get depressed when getting bad beats. I don't punch the table, wanting to break my notebook, etc.
In one hand I was limping 22 UTG and the player sitting 2nd seat on my left raised 2x and there were quite a few players who played that hand and I called. Flop comes like A 3 2 (I wasn't sure if A was on flop or turn). I found my memory isn't very good now which is the reason I can never play stud well....). I bet and the PF raiser called and everyone fold. On turn I bet 2k without many chips left. The player asked me "Why so big" and push me all in. I called immediately and he showed TT, wow. I thought he was donk but he later revealed himself as Jason Ho who is a Stoxpoker coach and he wasn't very serious when he shoved me.
I won some post-flop without showdown later, but then I kept losing all in preflop, albeit small each one of them. And finally I was going out. The final hand Celina Lin raised at early position and I looked down to see ATo in button and I shoved with around 3k chips at 200/400 and she showed AJ. I think this was a bad call. It might be a good call the player wasn't a pro and was raising loose but if it was raised from a pro at UTG at higher blinds my ATo is unlikely to be ahead. I don't know what I was thinking when I called that.
Anyway, I hope I can win in these tournaments soon.
In one hand I was limping 22 UTG and the player sitting 2nd seat on my left raised 2x and there were quite a few players who played that hand and I called. Flop comes like A 3 2 (I wasn't sure if A was on flop or turn). I found my memory isn't very good now which is the reason I can never play stud well....). I bet and the PF raiser called and everyone fold. On turn I bet 2k without many chips left. The player asked me "Why so big" and push me all in. I called immediately and he showed TT, wow. I thought he was donk but he later revealed himself as Jason Ho who is a Stoxpoker coach and he wasn't very serious when he shoved me.
I won some post-flop without showdown later, but then I kept losing all in preflop, albeit small each one of them. And finally I was going out. The final hand Celina Lin raised at early position and I looked down to see ATo in button and I shoved with around 3k chips at 200/400 and she showed AJ. I think this was a bad call. It might be a good call the player wasn't a pro and was raising loose but if it was raised from a pro at UTG at higher blinds my ATo is unlikely to be ahead. I don't know what I was thinking when I called that.
Anyway, I hope I can win in these tournaments soon.
撲克比賽不同階段的打法
以下大盲注數是沒有考慮到 ante 的，如果有 ante 的話 BB 數可以以 M 數來表示（M 是 Harrington on Holdem 裡所定義的，M = 籌碼大小 / 彩池，如打的是 20BB，沒有 ante 的 M = 20/1.5 = 13.3 ）， 如果你有 20BB ，但後面的玩家最多只有 13BB ，那麼你是要以 13BB 來考慮。
早期（50BB以上）
這階段你可以像現金桌差不多的打法， 但因我們不希望出局，建議比打現金桌緊一點，如果是打單桌比賽入錢圈是很重要，需要打得更緊，這時除大牌外，不是很大但有潛力成為大牌的牌如小對如 33 、同花連牌如 87s ，因為隱藏賠率 (Implied odd) 比較大都比較好打，特別是超過 100BB 的時候，但是像 AXo 的牌是不可以隨便打，因為即使 flop 出 A，如果對手沒有 A 便不會跟，有 A 如果你又不肯放棄，後果就很嚴重，因此只可以用來偷 BB，沒有兩對的話如對方強打應該放棄，如果自問沒有信心打 flop，一些小同花連牌可以不打或只在有位置的時候打，不過基本上這階段松緊看個人打法。
30BB
這時因為隱藏賠率減少，小對和同花連牌的價值減少，沒有位置時不應打，少在中間跟加注，在前位時應以打大牌為主，而且盡量加注入局，在 SB 和 BB 時不應該跟太多，如果拿大牌一般應該再加注，如果拿 AA 當然可以只跟，但如果你只跟 AA 的話留心的玩家將可能留意到。
15-20BB
在這階段加注必須很小心，例如你有 15BB 在莊家位加注到 3BB 來偷，對方反偷 (Resteal) 而你沒有好牌只能放棄，這樣你由 15BB 減至 12BB，少了20%籌碼，很傷，所以應該減少偷，更多打的是如對方反偷能跟的大牌，加注也最好減少到大約 2.5BB。但是這時反偷卻是最好的時刻，例如在莊家差不多每次都偷，此時你在BB沒有其他人入局的情況下可以 100% 反偷，對方很多時是不能跟，當然你還要考慮對方跟牌的可能，當然如果對手很緊，就不能隨便反偷了。這階段注意不要跟牌，如果要打必定要加注。
<10bb
這時你考慮的只有兩個方案：全推或放棄，不要小加注，在前位沒有人打的時候不要只跟，當 BB 數減少的時候，全推應該更多，但千萬不要隨便跟全推，但是如果全推的對手只有很少籌碼如 2BB ，你可以全跟。好的比賽選手在20BB以下的時候比一個好的現金選手在比賽更有優勢。
ICM (Independent Chip Model)
當單桌比賽只有5人以下，或者多桌比賽到了最後桌階段，此時獎金的分布極大地影響著比賽，在單桌比賽由於第三名都能獲得不錯的獎金，假設只有4個人，你的 籌碼是在第二位，避免出局變成非常重要，因此你必須減少打牌，特別是避免跟比你籌碼多的玩家的全推，不過可以偷比你少籌碼的玩家，如果你是領先的，特別是 領先優勢很大的情況下，因為你輸掉一手牌並不能令你出局，你將有很好條件偷盲注。要了解少籌碼的打法，建議用一些 ICM 的軟件如 Sit & Go Wizard www.sngwiz.com 。
早期（50BB以上）
這階段你可以像現金桌差不多的打法， 但因我們不希望出局，建議比打現金桌緊一點，如果是打單桌比賽入錢圈是很重要，需要打得更緊，這時除大牌外，不是很大但有潛力成為大牌的牌如小對如 33 、同花連牌如 87s ，因為隱藏賠率 (Implied odd) 比較大都比較好打，特別是超過 100BB 的時候，但是像 AXo 的牌是不可以隨便打，因為即使 flop 出 A，如果對手沒有 A 便不會跟，有 A 如果你又不肯放棄，後果就很嚴重，因此只可以用來偷 BB，沒有兩對的話如對方強打應該放棄，如果自問沒有信心打 flop，一些小同花連牌可以不打或只在有位置的時候打，不過基本上這階段松緊看個人打法。
30BB
這時因為隱藏賠率減少，小對和同花連牌的價值減少，沒有位置時不應打，少在中間跟加注，在前位時應以打大牌為主，而且盡量加注入局，在 SB 和 BB 時不應該跟太多，如果拿大牌一般應該再加注，如果拿 AA 當然可以只跟，但如果你只跟 AA 的話留心的玩家將可能留意到。
15-20BB
在這階段加注必須很小心，例如你有 15BB 在莊家位加注到 3BB 來偷，對方反偷 (Resteal) 而你沒有好牌只能放棄，這樣你由 15BB 減至 12BB，少了20%籌碼，很傷，所以應該減少偷，更多打的是如對方反偷能跟的大牌，加注也最好減少到大約 2.5BB。但是這時反偷卻是最好的時刻，例如在莊家差不多每次都偷，此時你在BB沒有其他人入局的情況下可以 100% 反偷，對方很多時是不能跟，當然你還要考慮對方跟牌的可能，當然如果對手很緊，就不能隨便反偷了。這階段注意不要跟牌，如果要打必定要加注。
<10bb
這時你考慮的只有兩個方案：全推或放棄，不要小加注，在前位沒有人打的時候不要只跟，當 BB 數減少的時候，全推應該更多，但千萬不要隨便跟全推，但是如果全推的對手只有很少籌碼如 2BB ，你可以全跟。好的比賽選手在20BB以下的時候比一個好的現金選手在比賽更有優勢。
ICM (Independent Chip Model)
當單桌比賽只有5人以下，或者多桌比賽到了最後桌階段，此時獎金的分布極大地影響著比賽，在單桌比賽由於第三名都能獲得不錯的獎金，假設只有4個人，你的 籌碼是在第二位，避免出局變成非常重要，因此你必須減少打牌，特別是避免跟比你籌碼多的玩家的全推，不過可以偷比你少籌碼的玩家，如果你是領先的，特別是 領先優勢很大的情況下，因為你輸掉一手牌並不能令你出局，你將有很好條件偷盲注。要了解少籌碼的打法，建議用一些 ICM 的軟件如 Sit & Go Wizard www.sngwiz.com 。
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