衛星賽基本

簡單的計算。

現在只剩 4 個人，頭 3 位可以得到入場劵，大家籌碼差不多，基本計算你有 75% 機會得到入場劵，現在有人 all in 而你在 bb，你在這手必須要75%勝率才可以跟，就是 KK 都很勉強，奇怪的是常常見到有人跟那些 50/50 的牌，於是你可以不用做什麼便贏了。

舉一個實戰例子吧！

Poker Stars $2.00+$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t625/t1250 Blinds + t150 - 4 players - View hand 48024
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

Hero (BTN): t78397 M = 31.68
sari66 (SB): t8951 M = 3.62
berenyo (BB): t32957 M = 13.32
Beuber (CO): t89981 M = 36.36

Pre Flop: (t2475) Hero is BTN with 6 6
1 fold, Hero raises to t3750, 1 fold, berenyo calls t2500

Flop: (t8725) 6 A 9 (2 players)
berenyo checks, Hero bets t5000, berenyo raises to t29057 all in, Hero calls t24057

Turn: (t66839) 5 (2 players - 1 is all in)

River: (t66839) T (2 players - 1 is all in)

Final Pot: t66839
Hero shows 6 6 (three of a kind, Sixes)
berenyo shows 9 T(two pair, Tens and Nines)
Hero wins t66839

對手是疯狂的，當時的情況是8進7，這張桌和另一張桌兩個只有10000的玩家都 已經失踪了，我其實可以不打也能拿入場劵，但我打的話只要避免與 Beuber 硬碰便不會有問題，即使輸給了 berenyo 我後面不打牌便行，相反 berenyo 如果打牌將冒出局的風險，如果他不打牌等其中一個少籌碼出局他已經是 100% 贏了，但是對手竟然打牌，還用中對推我，我心想我都已經拿 set 了，你如果這樣打我就成全你出局好了。

Poker Stars $10+$1 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t1500/t3000 Blinds + t300 - 8 players - View hand 48028
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

Hero (UTG+1): t7045 M = 1.02
CASTLEMILK (MP1): t4090 M = 0.59
sawyer2591 (MP2): t8410 M = 1.22
tignas62 (CO): t78242 M = 11.34
firefox18 (BTN): t24710 M = 3.58
BentzahAA (SB): t6655 M = 0.96
Turboman10r (BB): t30129 M = 4.37
1keeper1 (UTG): t20219 M = 2.93

Pre Flop: (t6900) Hero is UTG+1 with Q A
1 fold, Hero raises to t6745 all in, CASTLEMILK calls t3790 all in, sawyer2591 calls t6745, 3 folds, Turboman10r calls t3745

Flop: (t27925) 9 3 4 (4 players - 2 are all in)
Turboman10r checks, sawyer2591 bets t1365 all in, Turboman10r folds

Turn: (t27925) 2 (3 players - 3 are all in)

River: (t27925) 6 (3 players - 3 are all in)

Final Pot: t27925
Hero shows Q A (high card Ace)
CASTLEMILK shows A J (high card Ace)
sawyer2591 shows K K (a pair of Kings)
sawyer2591 wins t8865
sawyer2591 wins t19060

現在的情況出局者將在我和 Castlemilk 之間產生，如果我和 Castlemilk 一直不打至我們在 SB vs BB 時硬碰，誰勝誰負很難說（留意我在 BB 時將先扣 3000，所以到了 SB 時我和他的籌碼基本上差不多，誰輸了便會出局，這樣我是 50% 機會出局）這是我拿到一手還不錯的牌，我認為就算有人跟我機會還是不錯的，所以我推了，Castlemilk 可能心想也是時候和我決生死了，所以他也跟了，結果後面再跟個 KK，我和 Castlemilk 同時出局但我籌碼較多還是拿到入場劵。

至於 sawyer2591 是否應該跟 KK 呢？問題是如果 Castlemilk 拿主彩池、 我拿副彩池，他便極可能會出局，假設我和 Castlemilk 在這裡都是推 10% 的牌，KK贏其中一個將是 73%，出現「Castlemilk 拿主彩池、我拿副彩池」的機會便是 3.5%，加上他輸了這手還有可能翻身，我想跟也可以吧，但是如果 Castlemilk 並沒有跟，你認為 sawyer2591 是否應該跟 KK？

Satellite basic

Some simple calculation.

Suppose there are 4 players left with the chips pretty even, and there will be 3 seats to be won. You have 75% chance to win a seat. Now someone is going all in and you are in BB, you will need at least 75% to win this hand if you are going to call this and even KK can be marginal. However so many time I saw players that were coinflipping at this time and I sit there to look at how I get the seat without doing anything.

Grand Waldo Weekly 31/1/08

This was my 4th MTTs I played in Grand Waldo. Unlike the previous ones I revealed my online identity, which probably may not be good because the others could view me as a new live player since I am still not totally comfortable with live games yet. I still made the error of putting single chip intending to raise but forgot to announce raise. However I think I will become better. I still like playing live poker because I am seeing the real people and unlike playing online which I rarely chat because of multi-tabling. Also people seem to be more friendly than online, probably because we don't know the other players. And I feel less likely to get depressed when getting bad beats. I don't punch the table, wanting to break my notebook, etc.

In one hand I was limping 22 UTG and the player sitting 2nd seat on my left raised 2x and there were quite a few players who played that hand and I called. Flop comes like A 3 2 (I wasn't sure if A was on flop or turn). I found my memory isn't very good now which is the reason I can never play stud well....). I bet and the PF raiser called and everyone fold. On turn I bet 2k without many chips left. The player asked me "Why so big" and push me all in. I called immediately and he showed TT, wow. I thought he was donk but he later revealed himself as Jason Ho who is a Stoxpoker coach and he wasn't very serious when he shoved me.

I won some post-flop without showdown later, but then I kept losing all in preflop, albeit small each one of them. And finally I was going out. The final hand Celina Lin raised at early position and I looked down to see ATo in button and I shoved with around 3k chips at 200/400 and she showed AJ. I think this was a bad call. It might be a good call the player wasn't a pro and was raising loose but if it was raised from a pro at UTG at higher blinds my ATo is unlikely to be ahead. I don't know what I was thinking when I called that.

Anyway, I hope I can win in these tournaments soon.

撲克比賽不同階段的打法

以下大盲注數是沒有考慮到 ante 的，如果有 ante 的話 BB 數可以以 M 數來表示（M 是 Harrington on Holdem 裡所定義的，M = 籌碼大小 / 彩池，如打的是 20BB，沒有 ante 的 M = 20/1.5 = 13.3 ）， 如果你有 20BB ，但後面的玩家最多只有 13BB ，那麼你是要以 13BB 來考慮。

早期（50BB以上）

這階段你可以像現金桌差不多的打法， 但因我們不希望出局，建議比打現金桌緊一點，如果是打單桌比賽入錢圈是很重要，需要打得更緊，這時除大牌外，不是很大但有潛力成為大牌的牌如小對如 33 、同花連牌如 87s ，因為隱藏賠率 (Implied odd) 比較大都比較好打，特別是超過 100BB 的時候，但是像 AXo 的牌是不可以隨便打，因為即使 flop 出 A，如果對手沒有 A 便不會跟，有 A 如果你又不肯放棄，後果就很嚴重，因此只可以用來偷 BB，沒有兩對的話如對方強打應該放棄，如果自問沒有信心打 flop，一些小同花連牌可以不打或只在有位置的時候打，不過基本上這階段松緊看個人打法。

30BB

這時因為隱藏賠率減少，小對和同花連牌的價值減少，沒有位置時不應打，少在中間跟加注，在前位時應以打大牌為主，而且盡量加注入局，在 SB 和 BB 時不應該跟太多，如果拿大牌一般應該再加注，如果拿 AA 當然可以只跟，但如果你只跟 AA 的話留心的玩家將可能留意到。

15-20BB

在這階段加注必須很小心，例如你有 15BB 在莊家位加注到 3BB 來偷，對方反偷 (Resteal) 而你沒有好牌只能放棄，這樣你由 15BB 減至 12BB，少了20%籌碼，很傷，所以應該減少偷，更多打的是如對方反偷能跟的大牌，加注也最好減少到大約 2.5BB。但是這時反偷卻是最好的時刻，例如在莊家差不多每次都偷，此時你在BB沒有其他人入局的情況下可以 100% 反偷，對方很多時是不能跟，當然你還要考慮對方跟牌的可能，當然如果對手很緊，就不能隨便反偷了。這階段注意不要跟牌，如果要打必定要加注。

<10bb

這時你考慮的只有兩個方案：全推或放棄，不要小加注，在前位沒有人打的時候不要只跟，當 BB 數減少的時候，全推應該更多，但千萬不要隨便跟全推，但是如果全推的對手只有很少籌碼如 2BB ，你可以全跟。好的比賽選手在20BB以下的時候比一個好的現金選手在比賽更有優勢。

ICM (Independent Chip Model)

當單桌比賽只有5人以下，或者多桌比賽到了最後桌階段，此時獎金的分布極大地影響著比賽，在單桌比賽由於第三名都能獲得不錯的獎金，假設只有4個人，你的 籌碼是在第二位，避免出局變成非常重要，因此你必須減少打牌，特別是避免跟比你籌碼多的玩家的全推，不過可以偷比你少籌碼的玩家，如果你是領先的，特別是 領先優勢很大的情況下，因為你輸掉一手牌並不能令你出局，你將有很好條件偷盲注。要了解少籌碼的打法，建議用一些 ICM 的軟件如 Sit & Go Wizard www.sngwiz.com 。